Deepening EU–Western Balkans Economic Integration: Scope and Economic Gains

Deepening EU–Western Balkans Economic Integration: Scope and Economic Gains
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2026 Issue 196
Publication date: September 2026
ISBN: 9798229056779
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Topics covered in this book

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Exports and Imports , Public Finance , Taxation - General , European Union , Western Balkans , Economic Integration , Non-Tariff Barriers , Single Market , EU Enlargement , Trade Facilitation , Global Value Chains

Summary

The paper examines opportunities for deeper economic integration between the EU and the Western Balkans and assesses their potential economic impact. It documents key non-tariff barriers to Western Balkan–EU industrial goods trade—covering regulatory, customs, and border-logistics frictions—amounting to around 8–14 percent ad valorem equivalent. Reducing these barriers, alongside deeper agri-food and services integration, could generate substantial gains, allowing the Western Balkans to capture roughly one-quarter to one-half of the economic benefits of full EU membership while supporting EU objectives related to nearshoring, supply-chain resilience, regional integration, and connectivity.