External Sector Report 2026: Amid Rising Imbalances, the Case for Rebalancing

This report analyses sources and implications of the further widening of global current account balances in 2025, discusses policy options, and provides the assessment of 30 of the world’s economies based on 2025 data and the refined External Balance Assessment methodology.
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2026 Issue 001
Publication date: July 2026
ISBN: 9798229052863
$50.00
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Topics covered in this book

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Exports and Imports , Money and Monetary Policy , International - Economics , Current account , Capital flows , Exchange rate , External sector , External adjustment , US dollar , external balance assessment (EBA) methodology , Exchange rates , Current account balance , Real effective exchange rates , Global

Summary

This year’s report provides the external sector assessment of 30 of the world’s largest economies based on the 2025 data. Global current account balances widened further in 2025. The staff assessment suggests that excess current account balances have also increased, with China and the United States as the main drivers. Persistent and large excess current account balances can signal uneven growth patterns and increase the risk of disorderly adjustment. Simultaneous policy actions to address domestic imbalances yield the most favorable outcome for the global economy. Rebalancing efforts by one country can still meaningfully reduce excess global balances but could pose risks for the financial market with negative impacts on growth.