Global Financial Stability Report, October 2025: Chapter 2: Risk and Resilience in the Global Foreign Exchange Market; Chapter 3: Global Shocks, Local Markets: The Changing Landscape of Emerging Market Sovereign Debt

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2025
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2025 Issue 002
Publication date: October 2025
ISBN: 9798229025454
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Summary

Chapter 2 shows that, despite its deep liquidity, the global foreign exchange (FX) market remains vulnerable to macrofinancial uncertainty. Shocks can raise funding costs, widen bid-ask spreads, and intensify excess exchange rate return volatility. These pressures are amplified by structural vulnerabilities including currency mismatches, concentrated dealer activity, and greater NBFI participation. Stress in FX markets can spill over other asset classes, tightening broader financial conditions. Chapter 3: Increased local currency sovereign bond issuance and domestic absorption have supported emerging market resilience, but financial stability risks could arise from heavy borrowing, overreliance on narrow investor bases, and inadequate policy frameworks.