Jurisdictional Capital and AI Regulation: Evidence from the EU AI Act

Jurisdictional Capital and AI Regulation: Evidence from the EU AI Act
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2026 Issue 180
Publication date: August 2026
ISBN: 9798229060196
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Banks and Banking , AI regulation , event study , EU AI Act , jurisdictional capital , Artificial intelligence (economics) , Factor models , Capital adequacy requirements , Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) , Europe

Summary

We study how AI regulation affects firm valuation using the EU Artificial Intelligence Act, the world's first comprehensive AI framework. In an event study around the April 2021 proposal, we find firms combining deeper EU presence with faster AI hiring earned higher announcement returns, suggesting markets value “jurisdictional capital”—experience in the EU regulatory environment helps firms navigate the AI regulation. The effect is stronger for high-risk AI, for firms with stable and concentrated EU presence, or prior compliance experience, unexplained by size, foreign exposure, or lobbying. EU-embedded, AI-expanding firms increase within-firm EU revenue share when peers are less embedded.