A Model to Assess the Probabilities of Growth, Fiscal, and Financial Crises

A Model to Assess the Probabilities of Growth, Fiscal, and Financial Crises
This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the probabilities of growth, fiscal, and financial crises in advanced economies and emerging markets. We estimate separate signal-extraction models for each type of crisis and sample of countries, and we use our results to generate “histories of vulnerabilities” for countries,... READ MORE...

Publication date: December 2017
ISBN 9781484333143
$18.00

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