Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice?

How Have they Worked in Practice?

Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice?
Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork and to available non-model-based forecasts, such as agency ratings and private analysts' currency crisis risk scores. The data do not... READ MORE...

Publication date: March 2004
ISBN 9781451847284
$15.00

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