Unlocking MENA and CCA Trade in a Fragmented World

Author: Mr. Apostolos Apostolou, Fillipo Gori, Thomas Kroen, Salem M Nechi, and Subi Suvetha Velkumar

Volume/Issue: Volume 2025 Issue 267

Publication date: December 2025

ISBN: 9798229034463

$20.00

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Topics covered in this book

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Exports and Imports , Taxation - General , Geoeconomic Fragmentation , Trade DiversionTrade Policy , Infrastructure Investment Regulatory Constraints , Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) , Middle East and North Africa(MENA) , Trade Barriers , Geopolitical Uncertainties , Trade barriers , Trade policy , Trade balance , Exports , Middle East , Central Asia , Middle East and Central Asia , Asia and Pacific , North Africa , Western Hemisphere , Caribbean , South America , Central America

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Summary

This paper investigates the impact of geoeconomic fragmentation on trade flows in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) and Middle East and North Africa (MENA) regions. Amidst ongoing conflicts, security threats, the spike in global economic uncertainty, and evolving consumer sentiments, these regions face intricate challenges that necessitate agile policy responses. The analysis presents three illustrative scenarios, examining the effects of targeted trade restrictions, trade diversion, and neutral stances on exports and economic output. The findings of these illustrative scenarios highlight the critical importance of reducing trade barriers, enhancing infrastructure, and improving regulatory environments to navigate the risks and opportunities posed by geoeconomic fragmentation. These measures are essential for fostering resilience and promoting sustainable growth in the affected regions.