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This paper develops a time series model for aggregate consumption to predict the U.S. personal...

The United States stands out among advanced economies with marked declines in labor force...

After 2007, countries that cut their policy interest rates close to zero turned, among other...

This paper studies changes in the transmission of common versus sectoral idiosyncratic shocks...

As of 2015, U.S. log output per capita was 12 percent below what its pre-2008 linear trend ...

The paper investigates the international integration of EM sovereign dollar-denominated and...