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This paper analyzes the decision of a government facing electoral uncertainty to implement...

Fiscal policy in oil-producing countries can be profoundly affected by oil revenue uncertainty...

A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news...

This survey of the recent literature asks: how important is trade policy for poverty reduction?...

The medium-term predictability of exchange rate movements is examined using three models of...

Based on country experiences, the paper assesses policy options to assign oil revenues to...