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The paper finds a significant shift in the economic characteristics of civil conflicts during...

This paper proposes a set of good practices for the revision of macroeconomic data. The authors...

Following the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1992, several low-income countries in the...

Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect...

Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of...

We construct a financial vulnerability indicator that is consistent with the theoretical...