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We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach...

The paper proposes an algorithm that uses forecast encompassing tests for combining forecasts....

How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This...

This paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new...

Is over-optimism about a country's future growth perspective good for an economy, or does...

Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors...