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We examine the behavior of forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual...

We propose a new approach to test the full-information rational expectations hypothesis which can...

Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy...

Much of the information communicated by central banks is noisy or imperfect. This paper considers...

Forecasters often predict continued rapid economic growth into the medium and long term for...

We study forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 36...