Search Results for Forecast Efficiency

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Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public...

We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63...

This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of OTC currency options on the Czech koruna and...

This paper examines tax revenue during the business cycle by estimating the relationship between...

Over the past decade, inflation has become less responsive to domestic demand pressures in many...

Yes, partly. This paper studies the potential role of structural reforms in improving Japan’s...