Search Results for Forecasting and Simulation

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We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. This allows us...

This paper develops a new monthly World Trade Leading Indicator (WTLI) that relies on...

How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This...

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public...

We derive forecast confidence bands using a Global Projection Model covering the United States,...

Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective...