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Written by Gísli Blöndal, former Advisor in the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department, the book...

I regress real GDP growth rates on the IMF’s growth forecasts and find that IMF forecasts behave...

We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63...

This paper argues that asset price cycles have significant effects on fiscal outcomes. In...

We analyze the implications of linking the compensation of fund managers to the returnof their...