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This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the probabilities of growth,...

Should policymakers wait for fiscal crisis early warning signals before repairing the roof? We...

This letter provides an assessment of recent macroeconomic developments in Swaziland and an...

The aim is to analyze the main channels of transmission for shocks from the global economy to...

The global crisis has hit the Maldivian economy hard; combined with an unsustainable fiscal...

With public debt soaring across the world, a growing concern is whether current debt levels are a...