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This paper analyzes the interactions between business and financial cycles using an extensive...

Until recently, China has been the leading contributor to global economic growth and—since the...

This paper evaluates the performance of Consensus Forecasts of GDP growth for industrialized and...

We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an...

AbstractWhat do climate change, global financial crises, pandemics, and fragility and conflict...

The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently lowgrowth...