Nigeria

Nigeria’s economy is still recovering from the substantial terms-of-trade shock that triggered the 2016 recession. Over the past two years, the rebound in oil prices, a tight monetary policy, and a convergence in foreign exchange windows have helped reduce inflation and rebuild external buffers. However, persistent structural and policy challenges—including a large infrastructure gap, low revenue mobilization, and high dependence on hot money—constrain growth to below the level needed to reduce vulnerabilities and improve development outcomes. With elections now complete, there is a greater chance for faster policy implementation.